Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.087399 0.102123 0.118527 0.138156 0.161003 0.186759 0.218004
2026-02-01 0.064673 0.082853 0.104995 0.133938 0.170773 0.216101 0.276155
2026-02-08 0.050390 0.070035 0.095922 0.132506 0.182884 0.249848 0.345723
2026-02-15 0.039712 0.059429 0.087334 0.129661 0.192251 0.281451 0.418426
2026-02-22 0.033042 0.052902 0.082896 0.131425 0.207992 0.324245 0.514486
2026-03-01 0.027421 0.046720 0.077668 0.130802 0.219782 0.362968 0.611368
2026-03-08 0.022373 0.040386 0.070925 0.126325 0.224370 0.390861 0.695720
2026-03-15 0.019005 0.036203 0.066905 0.125524 0.234722 0.429636 0.804858
2026-03-22 0.016992 0.034034 0.065960 0.129894 0.254817 0.488384 0.959441
2026-03-29 0.015378 0.032292 0.065446 0.134889 0.276797 0.553929 1.137801
2026-04-05 0.013858 0.030432 0.064348 0.138468 0.296500 0.618091 1.324185
2026-04-12 0.012358 0.028324 0.062359 0.139812 0.311757 0.675626 1.506532
2026-04-19 0.010503 0.025188 0.057884 0.135555 0.315527 0.712506 1.657487
2026-04-26 0.008838 0.022159 0.053104 0.129770 0.315004 0.740467 1.795188
2026-05-03 0.007656 0.020039 0.050010 0.127342 0.321889 0.786543 1.984391
2026-05-10 0.006603 0.018019 0.046775 0.123953 0.325868 0.826712 2.167724
2026-05-17 0.005939 0.016870 0.045477 0.125213 0.341808 0.898891 2.445619
2026-05-24 0.005268 0.015559 0.043513 0.124346 0.352074 0.958758 2.703576
2026-05-31 0.004550 0.013960 0.040468 0.119919 0.351863 0.991334 2.894681
2026-06-07 0.004061 0.012928 0.038794 0.119049 0.361508 1.052390 3.177802
2026-06-14 0.003792 0.012507 0.038797 0.123123 0.386395 1.160699 3.619362
2026-06-21 0.003565 0.012168 0.038983 0.127810 0.414127 1.282433 4.125510
2026-06-28 0.003321 0.011721 0.038755 0.131171 0.438475 1.398734 4.638417